the_birds
05 Feb 2008, 11:23 PM
Cue the music...
Da Da Da, da da da, da da da
It looks like the big Super Tuesday winner is...Hillary Clinton (and John McCain)
In the most significant, paradoxical, epochal turn of political events in United States history, the winds of change are a gale force bringer of destruction to politics, pollsters, prognosticators and politicians! To be brief, its looking like the Hispanic vote is weighing in and the verdict is... white women make better tacos than black men! So far, with the primaries in Midwestern, Eastern and states that have a more 'traditional' American race breakdown, the winners have been somewhat predictable. But now with the race shifting to states with large cities with significant Hispanic populations, traditional politics is being obliterated. Its early, but when Hillary gets most of California's delegates, Obama will officially be 'on the rocks.' I think California will split somewhat North half to Obama and mostly south half to Clinton
On the future losers side, Hispanics are also making an effect strongly supporting John McCain, and his strength in the West should give him California also. It will be an interesting race, but with many of the post-Super Tuesday states being Western, I predict that John McCain will win the Republican nomination. Romney is already toast, with Huckabee actually having a more feasible chance at 2nd place. McCain's support of a comprehensive reform of immigration buoys his support from the Hispanics who would vote Republican.
Today is the day that will be remembered as the day that the Hispanic voter took a colossal step to being a genuine king-making constituency. With their backing, Hillary and McCain will win the nominations, with Hillary winning if their support and current support of candidates holds true. McCain's nomination does throw the wild card of support for immigration reform. But his being from the most notorious state of draconian laws against immigrants, puts it all in perspective.
Its not too late for Obama to turn it around, its just not very likely. According to exit polls, Hispanics are heavily supporting the two big nominees. For Obama to significantly dent the numbers this late in the game, its just not very likely to happen. Just for Obama to stay in it, he's got to cream every delegate he can get. Then, if it starts to look like its a done deal for Clinton, black supporters won't have many qualms going to Hillary.
But I'm not putting any hard money on anyone, its still a race, but it is looking a helluva lot more clearer.
Da Da Da, da da da, da da da
It looks like the big Super Tuesday winner is...Hillary Clinton (and John McCain)
In the most significant, paradoxical, epochal turn of political events in United States history, the winds of change are a gale force bringer of destruction to politics, pollsters, prognosticators and politicians! To be brief, its looking like the Hispanic vote is weighing in and the verdict is... white women make better tacos than black men! So far, with the primaries in Midwestern, Eastern and states that have a more 'traditional' American race breakdown, the winners have been somewhat predictable. But now with the race shifting to states with large cities with significant Hispanic populations, traditional politics is being obliterated. Its early, but when Hillary gets most of California's delegates, Obama will officially be 'on the rocks.' I think California will split somewhat North half to Obama and mostly south half to Clinton
On the future losers side, Hispanics are also making an effect strongly supporting John McCain, and his strength in the West should give him California also. It will be an interesting race, but with many of the post-Super Tuesday states being Western, I predict that John McCain will win the Republican nomination. Romney is already toast, with Huckabee actually having a more feasible chance at 2nd place. McCain's support of a comprehensive reform of immigration buoys his support from the Hispanics who would vote Republican.
Today is the day that will be remembered as the day that the Hispanic voter took a colossal step to being a genuine king-making constituency. With their backing, Hillary and McCain will win the nominations, with Hillary winning if their support and current support of candidates holds true. McCain's nomination does throw the wild card of support for immigration reform. But his being from the most notorious state of draconian laws against immigrants, puts it all in perspective.
Its not too late for Obama to turn it around, its just not very likely. According to exit polls, Hispanics are heavily supporting the two big nominees. For Obama to significantly dent the numbers this late in the game, its just not very likely to happen. Just for Obama to stay in it, he's got to cream every delegate he can get. Then, if it starts to look like its a done deal for Clinton, black supporters won't have many qualms going to Hillary.
But I'm not putting any hard money on anyone, its still a race, but it is looking a helluva lot more clearer.